Racing in South Australia continues to heat up with a high-quality program featuring three Black-type races, headlined by the Group 3 Sportsbet Lord Reims Stakes.
With the Adelaide Cup fast approaching, this meeting serves as an important stepping stone for several key runners.
Given the competitive nature of the card, we’re focusing on each-way plays and value selections to capitalise on some generous odds.
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All eyes will be on hot favourite Sabaj, but at a very short price, there are genuine concerns around whether she can handle the jump from 1200m to 1525m.
That leaves an opening for some value plays and Stratum Pride stands out as an honest mare who is crying out for a breakthrough win.
She’s been ultra-consistent without breaking through, always hitting the line strongly and never running a bad race.
On Saturday, she steps up in trip, which should suit, and drops slightly in grade, making her a big each-way player.
The key factor is the rider change, with Jason Holder taking the reins, which could allow her to settle closer and strike late.
With a quick back-up, a favourable race shape and at big early odds, she’s well worth a 1x3 each-way bet.
Rates $8.50.
It’s been a case of bad luck and missed opportunities for Declared this prep, with things just not falling into place in his three runs back.
That being said, he’s still managed to hit the frame in two of those starts, showing plenty of ability despite the setbacks.
On Saturday, he finally gets a much-needed break, drawing a good gate that will allow him to settle on pace and control his destiny.
Another big positive is the jockey switch with Jake Toeroek now booked, which could prove decisive.
If he repeats his last-start effort he should go very close, but if he improves off that run he could prove too strong for this field.
Given the favourable map and ideal setup, this looks like the perfect breakthrough race.
Rates $3.25.
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