It’s shaping up to be a very hot day at Geelong on Saturday, with the rail True.
I expect the track to favour horses racing midfield or further forward, so positioning will be key.
Let’s dive into Race 5, where I’ve found a solid main play and a little out-wide speck for some added value.
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The main play here is Haraldus, a 4YO gelding from the Anthony & Sam Freedman stable.
Here’s why he stands out:
Stage of Preparation: Haraldus has had two solid runs this prep and looks primed to peak here third-up. The tongue tie goes on, suggesting he may have choked down late last start, despite still posting impressive sectionals: the 4th fastest last 1000m and the 3rd fastest last 400m of the meeting while racing up on speed.
The Map: With Daniel Moor aboard, expect Haraldus to land outside the leader (OSL), which should be an ideal position given the track’s likely bias.
Trainer & Jockey Combo: Moor has been a go-to rider for the Freedmans, boasting an impressive 24% strike rate over their last 100 runners—well above the average for expected winners.
Haraldus looks perfectly placed to deliver here. This is either a great way to steady the ship midway through the card or kickstart your winnings.
Before we wrap up, it’s worth a little speck on Wicklow Town.
This horse showed a sneaky 18th fastest 600m to 400m split last start in a race where being back in the field wasn’t an advantage.
While he needs some luck, but at a big price he could surprise and do something in this race.
There are loads of tips for today's racing in our Horse Racing Tips market at theGreatTipOff.com.