Betting Tips: Early Market Movers at Caulfield and Newcastle 16/11/24

Another two winners last week for our Market Movers formula, correctly nailing the sharp money for Angland and Pisanello.

The early money is flowing this week once again and we have witnessed key market movers.

At Caulfield, Godolphin appear to be targeting the “shoulder season” with a number of their runner swell backed.

While at Newcastle Kris Lees has a big hand where it appears punters believe his horses have been targeted at this day from a long way out.

Caulfield Tips

Ruakaka Raider

The step up to 1700m is ideal following a strong performance at Sale last start, where he hit the line hard from well back.

He hails from a good betting stable known for timing their runs well, and they rarely miss when the money is down. Trust Stackhouse to get the job done for a stable he has had plenty of historical success with.

Pisces

A quality Godolphin runner, Pisces did enough first-up when placing second of seven at Moonee Valley.

He’s the fresh blood in this race, the new contender this preparation, while many of his rivals are further into their campaigns and may be going stale. Although the J Mac factor might compress the price, around the tricky Caulfield track, it could still be worth it.

Kin

Another classy Godolphin raider, Kin looks well suited to this field.

She’s building fitness with two solid runs this campaign and should be ready to peak third-up, suggesting this may have been the target all along. I’m willing to forgive her last start; she’s allowed one sub-par run, and it’s great to see James Cummings targeting the shoulder season to pick off some of the weaker races.

Niance

Niance has worked through the grades nicely and deserves her chance in Saturday Group class.

This isn’t an overly strong Group 3 race, and she looks well-placed by her stable in a field that lacks depth. From a mid-draw (gate 7), she has the tactical speed to go forward and secure a position close to the pace or just behind the leaders.

Newcastle Tips

A Bar In Paris

Bjorn Baker’s speedster must be showing sharpness at home to have warranted solid support here.

Her breed loves shorter sprints, and the 900m dash at Newcastle is perfect for those who can jump and run.

I expect her to jump straight to the lead and be hard to run down.

Snitznova

The Ciaron Maher-trained Snitznova represents Bennett Racing, whose owners are results-driven and committed to the cause.

He was impressive winning last start at the tight Randwick Kensington track and may be even better suited to the larger Newcastle circuit.

It seems likely the stable is giving the new rider chances to build confidence, and this looks like another solid opportunity.

Nikau Spur

A quality galloper who just missed by 0.2 lengths at Eagle Farm last start, charging late to finish second of nine.

With Tim Clark booked for this run, they may ride him a touch closer, which could make all the difference and put him in an ideal position to win.

From gate 4, he should get a perfect trip if he goes forward or takes a sit just behind the lead.

Spangler

Australian Bloodstock would love a runner on their home turf on a big day, likely motivating Kris Lees to set Spangler for this event.

After three solid trial hit-outs, he looks primed to fire first-up, a position he’s performed well in before (5:1-1-0).

He should be fully wound up and ready to go here!

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