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Warwick Farm Race 3 Tip #3 Continuation $7.50
This horse looks set to run a huge race here at generous odds, with Kris Lees playing his cards close to his chest once again.
Last week Lees booked champion hoop Hugh Bowman to ride international first starter Crystal Breeze, who went on to get the chocolates.
In a strong push for this horse's chances, the same formula has been applied with Bowman set to ride this stayer who is out of 2013 Melbourne Cup Winner, Fiorente.
His first-up run over the 1400m at Newcastle was encouraging.
He drew wide and was forced to go back, before being held up multiple times during the home straight. After finally seeing clear air at the 100m mark, he flashed home under a tight grip.
The gelding was then sent to Canterbury, where he got too far back over the 1900m on a day where the majority of horses found it difficult to make up ground.
He drops to just 57.5kg for this clash and whilst it's a rise in grade, this would have to be one of the weakest BM70 fields I have seen in some time.
Looks very well in at the weights and he will give a good sight at the odds.
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Belmont Race 7 Tip #5 Petticoat Junction $5.00
This staying filly from the prominent Justin Warwick yard has been in strong form this preparation.
Three starts back, she managed a narrow victory over 2200m at Ascot where she accounted for Celtic Diva who she meets again here.
In each of her two runs since, Petticoat Junction found interference which contributed to her missing the placings. Meanwhile, Celtic Diva has gone on to string together two impressive wins in lower grade.
As a result, the filly meets Celtic Diva 3kg better at the weights for this clash despite proving too good in their last battle.
In recent runs, she's been mixing it with talented gallopers Picture Perfect and Divine Shadow in much stronger grade than today's assignment.
She drops back to the weaker 57+ grade for this, with soft conditions to suit.
If jockey Natasha Faithfull can avoid trouble and maintain momentum, then this filly should be extremely hard to beat.
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Warwick Farm Race 1 Tip #5 Radiance $2.50
The two-year-old Medaglia D’Oro filly makes her race debut for the Godolphin team over 1100m here, off the back of two encouraging trials.
Her latest trial was on a Soft track over 794m, where she finished behind her main danger in this clash, Escape Artist.
That hit-out was the fastest two-year-old trial of the morning in 47.79, which was 1.5 lengths quicker than the next fastest.
It is worth noting the Godolphin filly was untouched to the line in what was a talented piece of work, so I’m confident she can turn the tables on Escape Artist on race day.
She handled the rain affected track going in that run and her breeding suggests she'll get through it under race conditions.
Godolphin have found top hoop James McDonald to ride from a good draw, with 56kg on her back.
I expect her to bounce on top of the speed, settle in behind the leaders and be awfully hard to hold out late.