Racing in South Australia continues to heat up as we edge closer to a stellar month of black-type action.
This Saturday's meeting at Morphettville Parks sets the tone, with two Listed races on the card.
Punters will keenly see the Dequetteville Stakes for 2YO fillies and the H C Nitschke Stakes for 3YOs shaping some of the big upcoming races.
While the weather cools slightly there’s still no rain on the radar.
I'm expecting a Good 3 surface with the rail out 3m 1000m to the winning post which should give every runner their chance.
It shapes as a day to target value, and I've zoned in on a couple of key plays that look set to run big races at a price.
Heath Pope continues to nail best bets at a good clip.
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This gelding continues to be frustrating for connections, but there's no doubt he has more talent than his record suggests.
Last start he was arguably the run of the race, flashing late to just miss behind Dual Pressure and Spirit Of Camelot despite giving both a start.
He now meets the winner 2kg better at the weights, steps up slightly in trip and finds a race with more tempo.
Crucially, Rochelle Milnes takes the ride and she’s in a rich vein of form.
All signs point to him running a mighty race, and he looks a terrific each-way proposition at the current odds.
Rated price: $4.50
Bet: EACH-WAY
This lightly raced 4YO has found a new gear since joining Travis Doudle’s stable, with two bold, on-pace efforts.
First-up he gave a big sight over 1100m before fading late, then backed it up with a blistering front-running display over this same track and trip, only collared late in fast time.
I'm expecting similar tactics here. With him taking up the lead, rolling along and try to break their hearts mid-race.
With no harder opposition to contend with and fitness on his side, he only needs to repeat that last run to be right in the finish again.
Rated price: $4.00
Bet: EACH-WAY
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