Geelong is the venue for Wednesday Victorian horse racing this week, with a very competitive nice-race card giving punters plenty to ponder.
The track is currently rated a Soft 6 and with no rain expected in the area, participants will be met with a drying racing surface.
Due to the cold mornings and low temperatures throughout the day, the surface should border around a Soft 5/Good 4.
The rail is true the entire circuit and at this set-up, it should play fairly to all competitors.
Lewis' tips have generated 64% Profit on Turnover from 27 tips over the past 7-days!
Click here to get free tip alerts so that you never miss out on Lewis' selections again!
This Hinchinbrook colt lines up here for career start number four, and arguably finds the easiest race in his career to date.
On debut back in January, he ran third to Hanseatic. Two starts later, he finished behind the very talented Doubtland on a Soft 7, which wasn't the ideal racing surface for this horse.
The stand-out for me is the strength of his form-lines and the fact that he's been competitive in those races.
He has been screaming out for this step-up to 1200m, and this looks ideal now that he's at peak fitness.
Last start he recorded the fastest sectionals of the entire race and may have won with a few more strides.
He will need a Luke Nolen peach from barrier twelve. However, many of the unraced horses to his inside have shown solid early speed in their jump outs. Look for Nolan to restrain Fixated from the wide draw and swoop past them late.
I think it's time for the colt to win and given the drop down in class, he gets the perfect opportunity.
I think the price on offer for Midas Prince in comparison to the top two in the market is way off, hence why this horse is a good bet.
First-up he jumped as a $91 chance over 1300m at Bendigo, where he flew home from last to only miss by half a length on the line. It was an eye-catching run and unsurprisingly, he ended up running the fastest last 200m sectional of the race.
Stepping up to the 1700m for this assignment suits, and he strips fitter.
He's only had one crack at this distance previously and it was at this track. That resulted in a victory.
In another positive form fact, his second-up record is dynamic with three wins and a second from four attempts.
He drops 2kg in weight thanks to the class rise, but his recent effort tells me that he is well up to this grade and is destined for bigger things.
He'll get the perfect run in transit from barrier 1 and looks set to prove the bookies wrong.