13/08/22 Saturday racing tips: Lays of the Day
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- Author: James BeesonAug 11, 2022 10:27 AM
- Photo: Getty
Rosehill Rip Off
This week we have again found two runners that appear to have come up well under the odds.
At Caulfield, punters should steer clear of a warm favourite in the first. This runner has had a huge prep and will be very close to being “over the top”.
While at Randwick, an undefeated Waller runner comes up at poison odds of $2.
This is an absolute “rip-off” to punters when the horse has only beaten weak fields in slowly run races.
Caulfield Race 1 #6 Chief Altony $2.50
A horse for punters to avoid early in the card at Caulfield.
He has been up a long time now and looks over the top after a gut-buster effort last start.
He came from a long way back at Moonee Valley, with a long sustained sweeping run.
These are the runs that can bottom a horse right out and take its acceleration away.
Whilst many will point to a perceived “fitness edge” against a number of unfit Spring horses resuming, I am taking the opposite view that he has now had too much racing.
He looks stale here and even the fresh staying horses could be a good chance to knock him off.
Avoid.
Rosehill Race 5 #5 Frumos $2.80
Comes up an excellent risk here at the poison odds of $2.80.
She comes out of 3 slowly run races, where any pressure applied will have her off the bit and chasing.
This will be an experience with a completely different pain level.
Her natural get-back profile is also a risk.
In this race, she is likely to be forced to come from last when a few of these including Pandora Blue could be off and gone.
This race features some genuine city performers and although she did win at Rosehill last start, the two runs prior at Newcastle she beat nothing.
The mug money will launch at her hard however a few of the bigger betting syndicates may be against her late.
This will be due to the poor map and weak lead-up races run in moderate/slow times.
Lay.
