16/07/22 Saturday racing tips: Lays of the Day
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- Author: James BeesonJul 14, 2022 12:14 PM
- Photo: Getty
Flemington Flops
We managed to have both Lay selections rolled last week, with Oxley Road ($2.80) and Chief Altony ($3.40) both going under as favourites.
This week we are against a recent Maiden winner who tackles Saturday metro grade for the first time at Flemington.
We are also a big knock on a Maher/Eustace runner to be piloted by the high-profile Jamie Lee Kah. This combination usually ensures a runner is over-bet by the recreational money.
Flemington Race 1 #2 Giga Kick $2.30
Looks over-bet coming in off the impressive Sale Maiden win, where he did not beat much.
He had all favours in that Maiden victory when he led and received a very soft time up front.
There will be more pressure now up to Saturday metro grade and that can find these runners out.
The recent trial win will also leave him very exposed to the market with plenty of punter interest adding to his “over-bet” status.
Whilst rookie trainer Clayton Douglas has great potential, he is still well below a few of the big guns in terms of quality.
The larger teams will take him on late in betting with the current rock-bottom odds.
Lay.
Flemington Race 4 #3 Through Irish Eyes $2.70
I’m against the hyped combination of Maher/Eustace/Kah here, which will be over-bet.
He has been up for a long time now with this being his seventh start this prep and there is a significant risk he could be fading from prior form.
They will push forward here and from the outside draw, may be forced to race outside the leader if others inside hunt up.
This will burn extra fuel.
The “Kah” factor is also in play with plenty of recreational punters in love with her and willing to take any price.
I’d much prefer to be with others here and against the over-bet hype of the high-profile names involved.
Avoid.
