Lay Betting Tips: who to avoid on the punt 22/6/24
- Author: James BeesonJun 20, 2024 11:30 AM
- Photo: Getty
Avoid the Godolphin Army
This week we are against the “boys in blue”, taking on two key Godolphin runners at Randwick that have significant challenges to overcome.
Mid-way through the Randwick card a last-start Maiden winner comes up severely over-bet, following a visually impressive win at Kembla Grange.
Whilst later in the day a Godolphin filly returns first-up with an unappetising record at this stage of the preparation.
Avoid both runners at their current short quotes in betting.
Jimmy Beeson continues to correctly highlight the dud favourites in feature races.
Looking for more of his tips? His Early Market Movers drop Friday.
Horse Racing Lays on Saturday
Randwick Race 5 #8 Kerguelen $2.00
Going to take on the last start Maiden winner who appears over-bet here following the 10-length romp at Kembla Grange.
Throw in the Godolphin and J-Mac factor and he is likely to be found by the vast majority of mug money.
This will ensure he is kept artificially short by operators all the way through betting.
Based on the debut win his natural profile is to go forward and race on speed. From gate 13 on this occasion that my be a significant challenge.
The leap up to Benchmark 72 grade in Saturday metro class is also of some concern, coming straight out of provincial Maiden grade.
He looks an excellent risk here.
Avoid.
Randwick Race 7 #10 Dipsy Doodle $2.70
Taking on another Godolphin runner here who again is likely to be over-bet due to the hype around a popular stable/jockey combination.
She arrives first-up (3:0-0-2) and is yet to trouble the scorer at this stage of her preparation, pointing to some concerns here that she may not be ready to go.
There is a chance they won’t show genuine intent, where on this occasion they may be giving her a “pipe opener” with the focus to have her primed for a second or third-up peak performance.
Although she has been readied with 2 trial hit-outs, nothing compares to fitness derived from the race-day experience.
I expect a market drift out beyond $3 with the current price representing no value.
Avoid.
Access more betting tips for Saturday racing here.