Betting Tips: Early Market Movers at Flemington and Rosehill 9/11/24

Australia's leading racing formula struck back hard on Cup day, nailing three winners that all paid over $4.00.

On the final day of the Flemington carnival punters have launched in early betting markets, where the early money provides us some excellent leads.

At Flemington, Godolphin has several key chances that have been backed, including one of the biggest early betting moves we have seen all year!

While at Rosehill a Bjorn Baker speedster strikes a much weaker race and looks very well-suited by the draw and lesser-quality field.

Flemington Tips

Angland

Above average Price/Kent gelding who is lightly raced and while has been well placed, does appear to have the potential to reach a new peak.

This is a harder assignment however I doubt the stable would have entered the horse on a big carnival day if he wasn’t going well.

From gate 6 they can blend into the race in the moving line with cover, and from there rush home over the top.  

Barber

Quality Godolphin runner who has the gun form through Baraquiel to starts back and won well at Geelong at his latest.

He overcame a wide run last start when did it tough yet was still good enough to win.

That run should have him peaking in terms of fitness now.

I love the searching run last start and given the right run tucked just in behind the leading division, if the speed goes on he should be the one dropping on them late.

Lady In Pink

Underrated galloper who looks well set up here by Team Corstens and Will Larkin.

She comes straight out of a hot race in the Group 1 Empire Rose on Derby Day, where there was no shame in being beaten by the smart Atishu and the like.

This is a significant drop down in class to a race that lacks depth and one that does appear very winnable for her profile. Yes.  

Pisanello

Another Godolphin runner who may be the biggest early betting move of the carnival and went up the wrong price at $4.50.

He was heavily backed ($2.20 into $1.75) first up when simply brained them at Hawkesbury and unleashed hell on them late.

He must have come on from that run, and I expect the private gallops have impressed all, and this is internal money that started the betting move.

Rosehill Tips

Passegiata    

Bjorn Baker speedster who can certainly go early and should carve across and sit right on the speed throughout.

The market said she wasn’t ready at Caulfield ($8 out to $16) second-up in the Alinghi Stakes, where she was a stinking drift in the market before putting in a sub-par run.

She looks the sharp improver back down in grade to Benchmark 72 level and with a soft draw (gate 5) in a much weaker field.

West Of Swindon

Motivation will be at an all time high here for Team Hawkes with this runner, as they rarely have a runner now for such an influential owner out of the middle east in Qatar Bloodstock.

Expect no stone has been left unturned in this colt’s preparation and they would not have entered here if the horse was not showing them enough to be competitive.

Trust they have him cherry ripe and I would expect on motivation alone, the yard will get this runner into the finish!

Olentia

Gun Waller filly who has been picking off the weaker races around the big features all Spring!

She has been impeccably placed and the stable are confident she does have potential Group 1 ability in time.

She looks very well suited by a likely fast tempo here, and should receive an ideal run midfield just in behind the speed battle before presenting inside the final 100m.

Territory Express      

Has been a huge tip all week with the price action reflects this in early markets.

He was desperately unlucky here last week in the Five Diamonds which held up at a crucial stage and almost certainly should have won.

He comes out of what should be a good-form race and appears suited by the timing between his last run.

He can atone here following the luckless last start effort.

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