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Melbourne Cup Trophy

13/10/21 David Gately tips & early predictions for the Melbourne Cup

  • AlexChristodoulou.jpg
  • Author: Alex Christodoulou
    Oct 13, 2021 11:09 AM
  • Photo: AAP
Tagged: Melbourne Cup, DavidGately

Gator's early crow

Date November 2
Distance 3200m
Track Flemington
Class Handicap
2020 winner Twilight Payment ($26)

 

Our look at David Gately's early tips for the Spring Carnival concludes with Australia's most famous race: the Melbourne Cup.

The famous two-mile handicap on the hallowed turf of Flemington is the pinnacle of the carnival. For punters, there's always plenty of value up for grabs in the Cup, especially in the futures markets.

With that in mind, let's see what David Gately says about the race...

 

Melbourne Cup tips

REALM OF FLOWERS

Good thing licked in the Sydney Cup for mine then total dominance at Flemington in the Andrew Ramsden. 

She can sustain real speed at the end of marathon trips and will not be harshly weighted. 

 

DAWN PATROL

Lightly-raced Galileo in the right stable to win this race. Just missed in G3 in his last overseas start with True Self (won Queen Elizabeth) behind him in third. 

Good building runs in Australia and looks set for the race. 

 

INCENTIVISE

No reason to say he won’t run 3200m given sustained speed/excellence on the clock at end of 2400-2500m. 

But the distance is an unknown, and he will also have a weight penalty if he wins the Caulfield Cup. 

Incentivise

 

PONDUS

Good second to True Self in the Queen Elizabeth and has had the preparation over here. Also, has been in great form back home since then.

Like Dawn Patrol, from the key Hickmott/Williams stable.

 

Melbourne Cup odds for the all-in market

Runner Win $
Incentivise $5
Spanish Mission $8
Twilight Payment $11
Away He Goes $15
Explosive Jack $15
Grand Promenade $15
Verry Elleegant $15
Realm Of Flowers $17
Dawn Patrol $26
Pondus $26

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Author Biography

Alex Christodoulou

Alex Christodoulou

Alex is GTO's numbers man, an encyclopedia of Aussie Racing history and stats. He has a passion for identifying trends and patterns within betting markets.

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