Moonee Valley Racing Lays of the Day 26 & 27 October 2018
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- Author: James BeesonOct 26, 2018 09:03 AM
Speed map carnage at The Valley
This week’s lay selections focus on two runners that have struck races where the speed map looks very ugly for them.
They look too well found in the market, considering both will have to overcome significant difficulties in the run to be figuring in the finish.
Both should be avoided and expect their prices to drift as we approach start time.
Moonee Valley (Friday Night) Race 7 #14 Sunlight $4.80
Was brilliant last start when leading at a fast tempo and soaking up plenty of pressure throughout the run.
However, this is a huge step-up in grade against the nation's most seasoned sprinters and the current $4.80 looks well under the odds to my eye.
The rider will have her straight on speed again here, although this time out there will be a number of others applying serious pressure from the onset, including Invincible Star, Jungle Edge and Houtzen.
Simply doubt she has the ability to soak up the pressure from the older horses, considering the speed engaged here and an abundance of talent that will be storming home over the top late.
Avoid at all costs and expect her to start $5+. Lay.
Moonee Valley (Saturday) Race 1 #5 Wedgetail $4.20
Will struggle to find a position early from the midfield draw in gate 7, in a race that lacks speed.
Often when there is no tempo, those drawn wide can find themselves parked out there for the entire trip as runners towards the inside tend to hold their positions.
This colt did not show any early speed on debut at Caulfield when getting well back in the field and Luke Currie will have to be Houdini to slot in here for any cover during the run.
The speed map looks ugly and ultimately should be his undoing. Lay.
