It's a big Group 1 day in South Australia this week, with the running of the SA Derby at Morphettville.
Godolphin hold the key to the race with their smart 3YO who simply toyed with his rivals in the St Ledger.
He does drop back in distance for this race, however, I believe he simply has far too much class for these and could be a moral.
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The Morphettville track is currently rated a Soft 5 with the rail out 3m from 1800 to winning post and true the remainder.
The Parks Track is out 3m from the 1000m to the winning post.
Fine conditions are predicted in Adelaide for the remainder of the week, with some showers predicted for Saturday.
Expect midfield and run-on profiles to be well suited.
As always refer to the early races for a good guide on track bias.
The Map
This race typically has pressure on early and throughout. A number of runners often believe this is their only chance of winning.
Son Of Emperor (8) looks the most likely to burn across the face of this field from gate 19, and take it up at genuine tempo.
Water Into Wine (7) and Phere The Ex (6) will both be looking to use their good draws to punch up, and should sit just in behind the first few.
The key chances are natural back-markers here, with both Alegron (3) and Harleymoven (11) both profiling to get well back in the run. However on this occasion expect they may be both ridden a touch closer.
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Alegron ($3.00) could not have been more impressive winning at Flemington last start, under an Ice Cold ride from Damian Oliver who was never concerned.
He does drop back from the 2800m St Ledger at Flemington to 2500m, however looks to have the tactical speed to pick up when needed.
His natural profile is to get back and run on. This style of racing will be suited, to the expected genuine tempo.
I believe he simply storms over the top late to win with ease.
Best Racing Tips
I'm with Alegron who has the speed map favours from gate 3 and should receive a beautiful suck run midfield with plenty of cover throughout the race.
If the breaks come and given clear running late, he could be a moral here.
Harleymoven is stacked with ability and was a huge run from well back in the field here last start.
They could race a touch closer here and take up a midfield position with the hope of negating any bad luck.
Jungle Magnate was the winner of the Chairman's Stakes here last start and is from the shrewd Price/Kent stable.
He took advantage of a superior position in the run last time out, and showed his quality to be very strong late.
Oliver jumps off to ride Alegron however appears to have a commitment to Godolphin runners in general, hence this is if no concern.
Claidheamh Mor pulled off a huge betting sting last start when backed from $6 into $4.60, before winning with ease at Mornington over 2000m.
This is a sharp step up in grade to Group 1 level against some elite 3YO's, however, he looks to be on the up and can improve again here.
1st Alegron
2nd Harleymoven
3rd Jungle Jack
4th Claidheamh Mor