Distance | 1200m |
Grade | Group 1 |
Track Rating | Soft 6 |
Prizemoney | $3,500,000 |
Class | 2YO Set Weights |
2020 winner | Farnan ($4.90) |
Here we go again.
For the second time in the 54 year history of the race, the Golden Slipper was rescheduled last Saturday due to the deluge of rain that hit NSW resulting in more than 320mls of rain falling at Rosehill within a week.
The good news for punters is that Sydney's Autumn racing carnival has been postoned for a week, which will make the transition into Winter racing much easier.
The open nature of this year's race will provide punters with a great opportunity to receive a healthy return on their investment for correctly selecting the winner.
On Thursday morning, the Rosehill surface was rated a Heavy 9 with track-work riders observing that it felt closer to a Heavy 8.
Sunshine is forecast for Friday and Saturday in Sydney, with a top of 27 degrees expected.
The warm weather coupled with west to south-westerly winds in the coming days could see us racing in the Soft range, which would be remarkable considering the conditions in Sydney over the past week.
The rail is out 3m and be wary of low draws later in the day, as the inside could be chopped out.
The Map
There is always plenty of speed engaged in the Golden Slipper and this year is no different.
Look forHome Affairs (2) to kick up from the inside in an attempt to gain a forward position, but he'll likely be headed by Profiteer (5) and Glistening (7).
O'President (8) won't be far away from the lead and it's likely that Shaquero (15) and Rocket Tiger (14) will try and come across from wide gates.
Four Moves Ahead (10) is versatile and I expect her to push up and settle in a midfield position.
Meanwhile, Stay Inside (3) is likely to settle in a midfield position from a nice gate with Kalashnikov (1) also kicking up from the inside.
Anamoe (16), Artorius (13), Mallory (6) and Queen of Wizardry (4) will likely settle to the rear of the field.
Look for Swift Witness (12), Ingratiating (11) and Captivant (9) to settle in a midfield position, providing they can slot in from out wide.
Key Runners
Profiteer ($3.50) comes in as the favourite and has been top of the market ever since he cleaned up the Inglis Millennium field in February.
He went into the Todman as favourite last start and he was his own worst enemy when over-racing in key stages of the race. However, he still fought on gamely to go down in second by less than half a length.
He has drawn perfectly, which is the reason why he has firmed in the market and will make his own luck out in front.
He is yet to face a heavy track, but connections and punters both think it'll pose no issue.
Stay Inside ($4.80) was very unlucky in the Todman. He was held up in a key part of the race around the 200m mark and by the time he got clear, it was all over.
He still managed to finish within 2 lengths of the winner, which is a testament to his talent.
The son of Extreme Choice has drawn ideally and will likely get the gun run throughout.
Many punters have declared him a moral for this race, especially after slaughtering the Pierro Plate field by 4 lengths on a Soft 7.
Four Moves Ahead ($6.00) is one of just five fillies in this race and the only runner who is yet to taste defeat.
She had a slight hiccup going into the Silver Slipper and was scratched from that event. She then entered the Sweet Embrace as favourite and put away that field, ensuring her birth into the main event.
The daughter of Snitzel has drawn a nice barrier and she is very versatile, so she can sit on or off the pace and still come on nicely.
One big tick for the punters is that she has form on the wet, which you will definitely need this weekend.
Analysis and Tips
Four Moves Ahead ($6.00) is my pick for the big one.
O'President ($15.00) is one I like at decent odds and will create his own luck up on the pace.
He broke his maiden status on a heavy track, winning by 4 lengths before impressively winning the Skyline on the Soft going.
He will love the conditions and he'll give a sight in the straight.