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  • Author: Alex Christodoulou
    Oct 08, 2020 10:41 AM
  • AAP
Tagged: Horse Racing Tips, Caulfield Guineas, Caulfield Cup, Deane Lester, Chris Scholtz, Racing.com, Matt Welsh, Cyberturf, Haystack5

Who to follow ahead of the Caulfield Cup Carnival

Punters up and down the country are starting to salivate with the standard of racing lined up for the coming weeks.

The Caulfield Cup Carnival signals that Spring is in full bloom.

It all kick-starts this Saturday with Caulfield Guineas Day, which is a card regarded by many Victorians as one of the best of the year. And rightly so, with no less than four Group Ones taking place, headlined by the Caulfield Guineas. 

Then next Wednesday the carnival rolls on with Blue Sapphire Stakes Day, where some of the country's best three-year-olds take to the turf. 

That's before we reach the crescendo, with the running of the Caulfield Cup next Saturday, Australia's second-best race for stayers. 

With such a jam-packed schedule, let's get stuck in and look at the tipsters who hold rank at Caulfield so you know who to follow over the next week.

 

Best tipsters at Caulfield - Media Experts

Best Caulfield tipsters from the media over the past 365 day

 

The horse racing leaderboard reveals the media experts who have excelled at Caulfield over the past 365 days, which crucially includes results from last year's Caulfield Cup Carnival.

Giving punters confidence that these results aren't just a flash in the pan, we've filtered the leaderboard to only show those media experts who have placed at least 50 tips at the track.

And unsurprisingly, it's none other than Deane Lester who's leading the way.

 

The undisputed king of Victorian form analysis, Deano has been doing particularly well at Caulfield.

He's placed a whopping 164 selections at the track in this period, to see them salute at a strike rate of 24% and a thumping average price of $5.14.

This has resulted in a 22% Profit on Turnover (POT) - an extraordinary number considering the 365-day time frame and the fact that Caulfield is often considered one of the toughest tracks in Australia to back a winner. 

There's no doubt that Deane's tips will be the most sought after for the Caulfield Cup Carnival.

 

You can access Deane Lester's premium racing package for Saturday here, which includes his exclusive staking plan, speed maps and his thoughts on every runner.  

 

But if you're looking for someone from left field, veteran racing journalist Chris Scholtz could be your man.

Most would know Scholtz as the long-time racing editor and contributor for Racing and Sports, where the quality of his form analysis has long been admired.

It's not hard to see why after looking at the 365 day stats for Caulfield, where Scholtz sits second only to Deane Lester.

Chris Sholtz's cracking Caulfield stats

 

In this period he's racked up 19 winners at a strike rate of 25% and an average price of $4.67.

On top of that, Scholtz has a good record in the big races.

In last year's Caulfield Cup he tipped Vow and Declare as his best value bet of the day.

It went on to run second, paying a handy $2.90 for the place.

His Caulfield Cup tips are sure to be hot property.

 

The third and final media tipster who's in the box seat to make a profit over the carnival is Racing.com's Matt Welsh.

From his insights on Racing.com's Spring Contenders show, it's clear that Welsh is one of the most astute form judges going around.

His Caulfield stats are very similar to Scholtz's, having found 18 winners at a strike rate of 25% and an average price of $4.76.

But where Welsh differs is with his best bets.

Adjust the leaderboard setting to Actual Stake where the stake of best bets are doubled up, and Welsh's POT jumps from 17% to 22%.

This tells us that when Welsh is confident about a horse, it's worth paying attention.

He's been seeing them particularly well at Caulfield over the last 90 days, having yielded 18% POT from 55 tips.

 

Matt Welsh's impressive 90 days stats at Caulfield 

 

Best tipsters at Caulfield - Pro's

If it's the record of the pro punters you're interested in, it's hard to go past Cyberturf.

This Queenslander is flying at The Heath, having found a monster 61% POT over the past 365 days.

This is thanks to 14 winners at a bumper average price of $6.79.

If that wasn't enough, Cyberturf has also profited in each of his past 3 tipping days at Caulfield.

Cyberturf is one to follow throughout the Caulfield Carnival

 

The other top performing pro punter at the track and distance is Haystack5. 

This New South Welshman has been firing all over the country, but it's at Caulfield where he's really impressed.

His 11 winners have come at a monster average price of $8, generating a 58% POT.

And with plenty of open races and therefore value expected for the carnival, a punter like this with a proven record of finding juicy winners is a valuable asset.

Look for a strong showing.

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