Ipswich Race 7 Tip #1 Tracy May $3.90
This Tony Gollan mare protested unsuccessfully last start behind Invicore, after being beaten a nostril.
Franking that form, the third placed horse, Dolly Spartan, won at the Sunshine Coast on Sunday.
Tracy May drops in grade for this clash and finds herself lining up in a Class 2 fillies and mares race.
She will carry only 59kg following the of 1.5kg claim for Georgina Cartwright, which is only 4kg above the minimum.
Cartwright has won on her previously and the consistency of this horse makes her a good bet today.
From gate 5, look for Cartwright to settle just off the leading pack before bringing her to the outside when hitting the straight and going on to outsprint her rivals.
Randwick Kensington Race 5 Tip #1 Spanish Point $8.00
It’s going to be wet and wild at Kensington today, with up to 20mm of rain predicted to fall. Find your mudlarks and hope!
I’ve searched long and hard for some value on what is a tricky 7 race card at Kensington and settled on this international who is now trained by Kris Lees.
He arrived in Australia last spring, where he worked his way up from midweek competition to compete in a deep Saturday BM84 against the likes of Shared Ambition, Creedence and Exemplar.
Since then, he has found a home at Newcastle with Kris Lees.
His first-up run was a complete forgive, when he was ridden dead from the carpark draw.
Last time out he competed over the 1500m at Port Macquarie, where he ran a gallant second to Chalmers.
For this clash, he steps out to the 1800m which will suit. He also meets horses who are coming out of provincial Class 1's, while he's been racing against much stronger competition.
He has a very good third-up record (3:1-1-1) and he won his only race in Australia third-up on a rain affected track.
He holds a good record (5:1-2-1) on rain affected going and with the 3kg claim for Louise Day, expect him to roll forward from the low draw and prove very hard to hold out at the generous each way odds.
Bendigo Race 3 Tip #11 Zaviera $5.50
I really like this mare from the Phillip stokes yard.
She showed above average ability last preparation and I think she can progress through her grades nicely this time in.
She handles the cut out of the ground and she bolted in second-up last preparation.
The $5.50 quote looks over the odds.
Bendigo Race 2 Tip #3 Lindhout $4.40
I think this mare can be competitive on debut.
She looked to have a nice turn of foot at the Cranbourne jump-outs and produced a good turn of foot when the jockey asked her for an effort.
A few horses she beat in that jump-out have performed well against above average horses, so all signs suggest this girl can win on debut.