Warwick Farm Race 2 Tip #4 Big Angel $7.50
The Chris Waller trained filly was well backed on debut at Canterbury, before missing the start and running 6 of 6.
She was tipped out for a spell following that run and has returned with three trials, the latest of which was particularly impressive.
In that work-out, she finished 1 length ahead of the field which included Shaik who has subsequently won a BM72.
She gets the in form Tommy Berry to ride today and looks over the odds.
Warwick Farm Race 3 Tip #2 Kaapfever $3.60
I declared this bloke the each way bet of the year two starts back at Warwick Farm. I’m prepared to put it all on the line and go one better here, by calling him the bet of the year thus far!
There is no greater home track advantage in Sydney metropolitan racing than Warwick Farm and this bloke is the “King Of Warwick Farm!”
I'm happy to forgive his last start effort at Randwick, given things didn't set up well and he never looked likely in the run
La Grisa comes out of the same race and beat him home that day, however didn't look to be going much better.
With a 2kg weight swing against her and a questionable heavy track record, La Grisa looks up against it here. With that in mind, I simply cannot have her favourite for this clash.
Outside of the top two in the market, the race notably drops off with horses either coming from weaker form references, or having little to no form over the distance or on the heavy.
The race sets up well for Kaapfever and it appears as though Joe Pride is keen to put this one to bed by reapplying the blinkers.
He hasn’t worn the shades too often, but when they're on he has won and run well against horses such as Our Candidate.
I'll be shocked if he doesn’t run out of his skin and eat his rivals up in the last 100m, swamping down the centre of the track!
Warwick Farm Race 2 Tip #7 Flexible $2.50
I'm keen to start of the new year with a bang, by cheering home the daughter of Hallowed Crown who looks very well placed to break her maiden.
The James Cummings trained three-year-old colt has her foot on the till after two solid efforts in her short career.
Last time out, she defied the marketplace with a very good effort behind the smart Fifteen Aria when only beaten 0.2 lengths. It is important to note that was on a wet Warwick Farm deck, the same set up that she gets here.
She arrives here third-up, at peak condition and strikes a very winnable set weights maiden.
In form Jockey Rachel King sticks with the filly and the drop back to 1200m looks ideally offset by the wet track.
She has drawn perfect in gate 3 to get a nice trail in behind the speed.
With even luck on the point of the turn, I expect her to be too good for her rivals.