Robert Sangster Stakes

Morphettville hosts a huge day of racing on Saturday, with two Group 1 features and an excellent card to support these key fillies and mares races. A win or top four placing for any of the fillies and mares racing in the features will increase their breeding value significantly.  In the Robert Sangster Stakes, I have to be with the intriguing Waller runner who drops back in distance and could simply blow these away from a class angle.   Whilst in the Australasian Oaks, I am again with the same stable and believe they can pull off the big Adelaide Group 1 double with a well timed raid.    Track Conditions  The Morphettville surface is currently rated a Good 4, with the rail in the True position for the entire circuit. Mostly fine conditions are predicted for the remainder of the week and on Saturday in Adelaide. With the rail in the True position, expect the track to race fair with both on-speed and run-on profiles to have their chance. Refer to the early races for a good guide on track bias.     Morphettville Race 7 - Robert Sangster Stakes 1200m (G1) The Map There looks to be a genuine tempo here, with Night Raid (13), Sisstar (9) and Mizzy (1) all set to apply pressure early. Expect Sisstar (9) to eventually win the battle for the lead and she will be looking for a cheap sectional at some point through the mid-stages. The back-marker profiles of Brooklyn Hustle (15) and Instant Celebrity (6) will both be hoping for fireworks up front, and are some chance to get that if others are keen to lead.    The Favourite  Instant Celebrity ($6.50) is lightly raced (6:4-0-1) and arrives here second-up following a huge campaign last time in (won 4 from 5), and a solid hit-out first up. She has plenty of quality and should be prepared to the minute by in the in-form Phillip Stokes yard.  With her run-on profile, there are some speed map concerns in this if the race is only moderately run. However, there looks to be a decent enough tempo to allow her to run home hard.  She should take good improvement from the first-up run and I expect this to be the target race.     Best Racing Tips Subpoenaed is an interesting runner, who has been sent by the  powerful Waller yard. She drops back in distance which should suit if the race is run at a hot tempo and she is sure to be one of the strongest late.  Trust the Sydney form to hold up very well against most of these runners, where she has a huge class edge. Could simply blow them all away.   Sisstar should lead or race very close to speed and given any cheap sectionals throughout, expect her to be hard to catch.  She has won her past three starts and will be well found by the market, however at the current $10 I'm still happy to play.     Instant Celebrity would have been set for this race and second-up, should be primed to win. Phillip Stokes is a gun trainer and will be highly motivated to win a race like this, back on his old stomping ground. The booking of Craig Williams is key and provided they can run-on, expect her to be in the finish.   Include Humma Humma for wider bet types, as she enjoys this track (8:2-2-0) and will be rock hard fit fourth-up. The stable love a bet and if more money arrives late, it could pay to follow.    1st  Subpoenaed  2nd  Sisstar 3rd  Instant Celebrity 4th  Humma Humma   Morphettville Race 8 - Australasian Oaks 2000m (G1) The Map Tasmanian raider Hela (3) appears to be the natural leader here, with Flying Mascot (12) and Chica Fuerte (8) to also race close to speed.  A number of others can also push forward early, including Ecumenical (15) and Tychee Goddess (5). This should ensure a genuine tempo throughout.  The run-on profiles of Mozzie Monster (14) and Steinem (1) will both need a good speed, and can be charging late off a strong gallop.    The Favourite Steinem ($4.40) was beaten as an odds on ($1.60) favourite here last start, where there was clearly a lack of intent and the horse was too far back to threaten. She draws terribly in gate 1, where there is a huge risk that she simply does not see any daylight in this field with other riders/horses hemming her in throughout. No doubt if the breaks come and she finds clean air, she will be the one rattling home over the top. Needs some luck.      Best Racing Tips I'm with Brookspire who is absolutely flying this preparation and won well last start at Caulfield over 1600m. This will be her first try up to 2000m, however trust the gun stable have had this race in mind for a long time now. She appears excellent value at the current $10.   Sirileo Miss is from the shrewd Simon Wilde camp, who have a knack with young staying horses and a sense of timing with her in this race.  She was good last start when placing 3 of 16 here in the Auraria Stakes at Group 3 level over 1800m and can improve again now out to 2000m. The Craig Williams booking and current price ($21) both say yes.    Steinem was ultra dominant winning her first two starts, then had genuine excuses last time out here when no intent was shown.  There are significant speed map concerns from the inside gate if she gets well back. However with any luck weaving through, expect her to go close.    Personal has plenty of quality and will have no problems running this trip right out. She arrives via possibly the strongest form-line of the Group 1 Vinery Stakes, where not all appeared to be right with her. She could easily bounce back to winning form here.    1st  Brookspire 2nd  Sirileo Miss 3rd  Steinman 4th  Personal

The carnival moves to South Australia on Saturday with Morphettville to host two exciting Group 1's.  The Australasian Oaks will showcase some of the country's finest three-year-old staying fillies, whilst the time honoured Robert Sangster Stakes gives the sprinting girls a shot at Group 1 glory. The Sydney form in both races looks far superior to the locals, and also should win out against those who arrive via the Melbourne lead-up races. I am with a filly at nice odds in the Oaks who is rock hard fit and suited by the drop back to 2000m. In the feature sprint, a classy Godolphin runner appears excellent value.     Morphettville Track Traits  The Morphettville surface is currently rated a Soft 5, with the rail in the True position throughout. Showers are predicted for the remainder of the week in Adelaide.  With a rain-affected surface likely, the feature staying contest may feel longer for some runners, and could develop into a genuine war of attrition.   Morphettville Race 7 - SA Oaks (2000m) The Map  There doesn't look to be much speed engaged here, with Sierra Sue (20) likely to roll across from the outside gate to take it up. Expect those runners coming out of the Australian Oaks at Randwick to be ridden closer, as they should have the fitness edge. These runners include Nudge (11) and Toffee Tongue (3), who both should travel no worse than midfield. The favourite Affair To Remember (5) typically gets well back and will require a fast tempo to run home hard. I'm not entirely sure she gets that here.   The Favourite  Affair To Remember $5 was very good at Caulfield last start, where she was held up at a crucial stage before rattling home to finish 3 of 14. She should have won with ease.  She will relish the step-up to 2000m here and her campaign looks timed to perfection, by a shrewd stable in search of their maiden Group 1. No doubt a serious player here, however she will be reliant on a fast run race to show her best.    Analysis and Race Tips   I expect the Randwick Australian Oaks form to be superior for this, with both Nudge $8 and Toffee Tongue $7.50 to appreciate, what appears a drop back in grade, to a much weaker Group 1. Well done if you managed to secure the early $12 on offer about Nudge. She was excellent last start in the Oaks at Randwick and now a drop back in distance to 2000m is perfect. Expect her to secure the perfect trip midfield with cover and be charging home over the top. Toffee Tongue $7.50 was only 2.5 lengths off the smart Colette last start in the Australian Oaks, when she stuck on well late. There was plenty of money for her the start prior over 2000m and back to this more suitable distance again looks ideal. An apparent class edge and attractive SP profile suggest she will be fighting out the finish.    Affair To Remember $5 appears to be flying and clearly should have won last start. She just needs some form of tempo up front to allow her to run on from her typical running position of well back in the field.  Moonlight Maid $14 should be included in wider exotics. She profiles well coming in off two impressive hit outs in good grade, both of which were over the unsuitably short 1600m. She was excellent in the Spring and is the big improver now back out to 2000m.  Expect both Nudge and Toffee Tongue to prove the Australian Oaks form far superior, with the race favourite Affair To Remember a danger if the speed goes on throughout. I'm very wary of Moonlight Maid, who would not shock.   Morphettville Race 8 - Robert Sangster Stakes (1200m) The Map  The speed looks genuine here with Away Game (4) drawn in and carrying no weight (47kg), highly likely to ping the lids and force them to all chase hard.  Expect Sunlight (16) to go forward from the wide gate, however I doubt they will press on with it. Expect the rider to take hold and sit outside the leader throughout.  Savitiano (9) also has good tactical speed to race forward and she can lob in the box seat, one out one back. Bella Vella (11) also races handy.  If the leaders were to go warp speed, Humma Humma (11) and Lyre (12) are the best run-on profile chances.   The Favourite  Sunlight $3.00 was completely dominated first-up here by the smart Gytrash. However, she was sure to have plenty of room for improvement with bigger targets on the horizon (including this). She generally improves after the initial hit-out and her second-up record (4:3-0-1) is excellent. The only concern is the wide draw (gate 16) and with plenty of speed drawn inside, she will need to be used up if they decide to challenge for the lead. It is a tough ask and the price is no spoil, yet her class may just allow her to overcome the speed map challenges.     Analysis and Race Tips  I'm happy to stick with the Sydney form again in the second feature of the day, and at the price I have to be in the corner of Savitiano $11. She comes off a midfield finish (6 of 16) at Randwick last start, however she has since had the three week freshen. A slight concern exists if the track turns to slop.   Away Game $5 gets all the favours from gate 4 and the feather weight (47kg) will make her awfully hard to catch from out in front. Any cheap sectionals throughout will ensure she fights out the finish.   Sunlight ($3) is all quality and looks primed to peak second-up, after her condition appeared to give out at the first-up effort. However from a price angle, she does appear rock bottom odds considering the significant speed map challenges. Include Humma Humma $23 and Lyre $11 if the pattern is favouring the run-on profiles at this late stage of the day. Savitiano appears good value, just ahead of the flying 2yo Away Game. For a list of all the tipsters who have posted Morphettville tips for Saturday's racing meet, checkout the dedicated page at theGreatTipOff.com.