03/09/22 Moonee Valley Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets

Tagged: Moonee Valley

The Valley plays host to a cracking Saturday of racing, with a ticket into the Cox Plate up for grabs for the winner of the G2 Feehan Stakes.

The track is currently rated a soft 6 and with overcast conditions expected.

The rail is true the entire circuit and at this set-up, it's an advantage to settle on pace.

The Valley Race 1 Tip #5 Red Sun Sensation $4.80

Great 3YO handicap race to start Feehan Stakes day and in an open market, I've sided with the Moody and Nolen combination.

This trainer and rider combination historically has a very strong strike rate when it comes to Saturday metro races.

This horse was an impressive Geelong maiden winner first up over the 1200m, coming from off the speed to record a pretty soft win on the line.

He ran a meeting fastest last 200m through the line and his last 600m time was over 4.5 lengths quicker than the benchmark-grade average.

For this assignment, he should get a lovely run in transit from barrier four.

He will settle midfield with cover, allowing him to find the best lane in the straight a few off the fence.

The soft track should be no issue either, having won comfortably on that soft 5 at Geelong.

Looks like a good price and confident we can steal some cash early doors.

You aren't seeing things, I genuinely believe this horse at a monster price has a live chance in this race.

This very well-bred 3YO filly by Redoute's Choice comes into this race third up.

At her first start of the campaign, she ran a gallant 5th here over 955m and followed it up with a last start 7th in the G3 Quezette.

She was $101 for the Quezette and defied those odds to run out of her skin.

She settled last behind an extremely fast lead tempo, with the leader going 6 lengths quicker than average to the 600m.

All the runners who made ground in that race did so by saving ground inside horses on the turn.

On the contrary, this filly was forced to go around her opposition to the outside part of the track, which was an impossible position to win from.

She still managed to run the 8th fastest last 200m split from there and her last 600m's was 3.5 lengths quicker than G3 average.

Clearly a horse who is looking for further and she rises to 1200m here.

The drop back to Listed grade with equal weight assists as well.

I concede that this track may not exactly be suitable for her racing style, but i'm convinced she's going much better than her odds suggest.