Betting Tips: Early Market Movers at Flemington and Randwick 5/7/24
- Author: James BeesonJul 05, 2024 11:00 AM
- Photo: Getty
Hidden run sets up huge plunge
Fresh off another clinical weekend where Australia's best racing formula found Anagain at $11.20, Jimmy wants to repeat the dose this weekend.
There's plenty of “sharp” betting action in early markets this week, with a number of the opening prices knocked off.
At Flemington, a Tony McEvoy runner on the quick back-up has been well-found and does look the fit horse on the scene.
Whilst at Randwick a provincial 2yo has earned another trip to town and this time a shot at rich Saturday metro grade, following an above average start to her career.
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Flemington Tips
La Fracas
Did not appear suited last start at Sandown (5th of 8) when he got a long way back in the field, with little intent shown.
That was the tick-over run he needed to be peaking third up here over 1600m.
He did get home well last time out over the 1400m to suggest he is crying out for the mile, and he looks the big improver here.
Starlight Scope
She was disappointing here last start when bringing all the right form lines, yet could only manage a 9th of 10 finish after good market support.
However she did have a genuine excuse after bungling the start, and lameness was found post-race.
The market appears willing to completely forgive here and it does make sense, considering last start was simply too bad to be true!
Veloce Carro
Ciaron Maher runner who is working through the grades nicely and deserves his first look at Stakes grade, as a horse on the rise.
He was excellent here last start (2 of 10) when narrowly beaten over the 1100m after showing plenty of fight right to the line.
He steps back up in distance to the 1200m where he appears best suited, and this journey allows him to build through the gears.
Bossy Nic
Last start winner at Caulfield who is on the quick back-up, which the market tends to love.
She has now won two straight and deeper into the preparation should be rock-hard fit.
They can now be more positive early if they choose.
Frosty sticks and from the ideal mid-draw in gate 7 he is likely to give this runner every chance.
Randwick Tips
Winning Proposal
Has now won 2 from 4 and must be showing the provincial trainer plenty at home to warrant a Randwick Saturday metro start.
She was very good winning last start when she had to do it the hard way sitting three-wide for most of the trip at Warwick Farm.
Based on the last start heroics she could be even better suited on a testing track and possibly over more ground.
If the speed goes on here she should be very strong late.
Navy Blood
Team Freedman runner who looked a touch unlucky not to win at Rosehill last start, when loomed but found one better on the day.
He is another runner that can potentially be ridden closer this start, due to added fitness derived from previous runs this preparation.
Ideally, if they can find the moving line with cover and slot in mid-field expect they should have enough time to pounce on the lead.
Kapakiri
Is reaching the “Waller sweet spot” in terms of this stage of the prep (third-up) where he prefers to have them peaking.
The last start effort at Rosehill over 1800m showed he was right on target, as he grinded away to finish a close up (2.5 lengths) 5th of 14.
Now out to 2000m expect more intent shown early, and with fitness building a dynamic finale over the last 200m.
Ready!
Rain Lord
Interesting Team Snowden runner who is switched back from the Melbourne stable to contest this event at Randwick.
The second-up record (3:2-1-0) is almost bombproof and that should take him a long way here in a race that appears to lack depth.
He should settle just in behind what could develop into a warp speed battle between Mogo Magic and Tristate up front, and given the ideal tow-in he can mow them all down late.
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