Lay Betting Tips: Who to avoid on the punt 21/6/25

We went bang bang last week, with both false favourites coming undone at their poison prices. 

On Saturday's mammoth Ipswich Cup Day card, we've found two highly vulnerable runners in two feature races who look set to blow up multis around the country.

In the Listed Eyeliner Stakes, a horse that was targeted for the Stradbroke looks an excellent risk due to his racing pattern and inside barrier.

Whilst in the Gai Waterhouse Classic, a car-park draw and quality field pose significant obstacles for the favourite who looks set to catch a case of "the blows".

Back these hot-pots at your peril.

Horse Racing Lays on Saturday

Ipswich Race 8 #2 Warnie $2.60

Comes up well “unders” here due to the profile and dropping back from a Stradbroke campaign, where they opted for the easier Morten Bay Cup option in lieu.

The boom is huge on him, however he's up against it here. 

He takes his first look at a tricky Ipswich track, which is tight turning and not the most favourable format for a horse that is typically ridden back in the field.

From gate 3, they may opt to ride him closer in the run. However, this will be outside his usual pattern and represents a significant risk.

If he doesn’t have the ability to go forward and hold a position, he is likely to be buried 3-back along the inside.

With the ugly speed map and skinny price, he represents an excellent risk on Saturday. Lay

Ipswich Race 9 #16 Gerringong $2.60

Similar to Warnie, we can confidently take on this runner from a speed map perspective ahead of his debut at the tricky Ipswich circuit.

He's forced to launch from a horror gate 16, where they'll be forced to ride him in a very negative fashion and likely drag right back to near last. Not a high-percentage play.

If they decide to roll the dice and go forward, there is a high probability they will be forced to race at least 3-wide the entire trip.

With plenty of talent elsewhere, expect a few of these to have him covered in the run home.

The rider downgrade from Tim Clark to Regan Bayliss is also a significant negative, particularly when the draw will require an elite steer from the jockey.

I can see the professional teams taking him on late here and expect a price of $3+ to be widely available come start time. Avoid

Access more betting tips for Saturday racing here.