Nic Ashman Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets for Kingsford Smith 27/5/23
- Author: Nic AshmanMay 25, 2023 12:05 PM
- Photo: Getty
G Roy goes up big price
Saturday’s Group 1 Kingsford Smith Cup over 1300m at Eagle Farm will prove pivotal in calculations for Queensland's richest race, the $3 million Stradbroke Handicap.
The favourite for both races, Think About It, currently sits 32nd in the order of entry for the 'Straddy' and the only way he is assured of a start is by winning the Kingsford Smith.
Trackwalker Info
Eagle Farm Lanes 1,2 inferior, Lane 3 better and ok.
Best ground Lanes 4+.
The Sweet Spot appears around Lanes 5-7.
Key Stats
Keep an eye on these Trainer/Jockey combinations:
Kris Less / Blake Shinn 72 races 21 wins [29%] with a return on investment of +30%
Robbie Patterson [NZ] / Sam Collett [NZ] 102 races 22 wins [22%] with a return on investment of +23%
Joe Pride / Sam Clipperton 214 races 42 wins [20%] with a return on investment of +46%
Group 1 - Kingsford Smith Cup
History
If he is to win, Think About It will be the first horse since Clearly Innocent, who won the Listed Luskin Star at Scone, not to use a WFA lead-up.
Every winner over the past five years has finished 1st – 4th in their final run before the Kingsford Smith.
Speed Map
Nic Ashman's Kingsford-Smith Tips
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Nic's package includes exclusive speed maps, staking plan, rated runners and more in an easy-to-digest format.
- Gentleman Roy
Here’s old mate G Roy winning the Group 1 CF Orr Stakes over 1400m before losing it in a controversial protest.
He beat Group 1-winning colt Jacquinot with top class performers I'm Thunderstruck and Mr Brightside, who subsequently won the All Star Mile - Doncaster Mile double, in his wake.
This is elite Group 1 form and better than the Doomben 10000.
His peak rating this campaign is superior to any of these and the fact you can secure $21 seems a generous offering.
The obvious query is the hard campaign, can he peak again?
At the price, he’s worth the gamble.
- Think About It
Attention punters… Mr X-factor is in the house.
He’s won 7 from 8 and his only defeat was his final run in his first prep.
While he’s yet to post a massive overall rating, his late sectionals continue to suggest there is more up the sleeve from this son of former champion galloper, So You Think
- Converge
Two starts ago was beaten 0.5L by Anamoe at Group WFA level over 1500m.
Like Gentleman Roy, that is superior form to the Doomben 1000 and he’s yet to miss a place in 3 runs at G1 level on good tracks.
- Chaillot
Brilliant fresh mare having won 5 from 7 first-up.
She's had one run since transferring to Qld and she won.
Her peak numbers are within reach of victory here and she's been $51-$21 this week.
Her Group 1, which reads 6:0-0-0 is misleading as she's never contested a race at the elite level when first-up on a dry track.
Big show here.
Head to our horse racing tip market to access the selections of proving winning form analysts.
