Lay Betting Tips: who to avoid on the punt 20/4/24
- Author: James BeesonApr 18, 2024 04:00 PM
- Photo: Getty
Jimmystar is no superstar
On another big Group 1 day at Randwick we have again identified two favourites, which come up poison odds and must overcome significant challenges to be winning.
In the Group 1 Champagne stakes over 1600m for 2YO’s, we are firmly against a last start winner who looks severely over-bet following her Sires Produce heroics.
Whilst later in the day a Ciaron Maher hype horse faces a tricky speed map, in a race where going back in the field with the rail out 7m looks fraught with danger.
Jimmy Beeson continues to correctly highlight the dud favourites in feature races.
Looking for more of his tips? His Early Market Movers drop Friday.
Horse Racing Lays on Saturday
Randwick Race 7 #7 Manaal $2.30
She’s very good and did run an outstanding race to win the Sires Produce at her last start over 1400m.
However, I’m keen to take her on at the short price here.
Keeping with our Autumn theme of being against the 2YO runners that have now been up for a long time, she will be very close to being over the top now after two Grand Final runs.
The 1600m is also a new challenge and although her pattern does suggest this journey will suit, there are also a number of lesser exposed horses entered here who have been sitting back to wait for this longer trip.
The suggested late move in betting is likely to be for Linebacker and the current odds for Manaal won’t be getting much shorter from here and are likely to move closer to $3 come start time.
Avoid.
Randwick Race 9 #12 Jimmysstar $2.80
Hype horse who is forced to travel to Randwick for the first time and take on a handy field of Saturday city horses, deep in Carnival time. Not easy!
They will almost certainly be forced to go back from the gate and with the rail out 7m it may be extremely difficult to be launching a run from the back half of the field and circling on the day.
I’d suggest he may be looking for more ground now and possibly isn’t suited by staying at 1400m in this, where a few of these could again be too sharp for him when they sprint.
I am expecting the price to drift significantly, with the professional betting teams “hating” the speed map late, and $3+ widely available come star time.
Lay.
Access more betting tips for Saturday racing here.