Lay Betting Tips: who to avoid on the punt 13/4/24
- Author: James BeesonApr 11, 2024 12:00 PM
- Photo: Getty
The Golden Slipper winner is finished
The Golden Slipper winner lines up again this week, following her recent heroics when beating a number of her more fancied and valuable rivals.
I am against her on this occasion, and she is now over the top and an excellent risk for punters on a big day at Randwick.
In the feature sprint on Day 2 of The Championships, we have found another poison odds commodity who faces a tricky speed map.
He is likely to be crossed with ease and will need an exceptional steer from the rider.
Avoid both runners at their current short quotes in betting.
Jimmy Beeson continues to correctly highlight the dud favourites in feature races.
Looking for more of his tips? His Early Market Movers drop Friday.
Horse Racing Lays on Saturday
Randwick Race 4 #1 Lady Of Camelot $2.50
Appears severely over-bet here due to her last start Golden Slipper heroics where she did win in impressive style.
Similar to last week when we were against Storm Boy, this filly fits the same profile of now being a high-risk “over the top” horse, on the way down at this late stage in a preparation.
I’d suggest the main focus was the “Grand Final” run in the Golden Slipper and backing up in this race is largely an after-thought.
There is no doubt the ownership group are just “hoping” she can put in one more good run to really enhance her broodmare value.
To have been up since prior to the Blue Diamond is a huge effort, where she could now be simply “cooked” and is sure to put in a lackluster run soon.
Avoid.
Randwick Race 5 #1 Ozzmosis $3.00
Going to pot the Arrowfield Sprint favourite here.
I firmly believe he was blessed in a low rating Coolmore Stud Stakes win last preparation, where he sat close to speed against a weak edition of the Stallion making race.
He faces a tricky speed map in this from gate 4 and with plenty of early pace drawn to his outside, he is likely to be crossed with ease and dictated to by the first few horses in running.
Rachel King is not the preferred rider in these high-pressure races, and although she did get the job done in the big Flemington Group 1, this is a completely different set-up.
She will need to negotiate a high-pressure sprint early, then be able to navigate the bend, all while horses make their moves around her.
Ozzmosis barrier manners are also of significant concern, where last start at Rosehill he was extremely unsettled in the gates and very slowly away.
A repeat of this behaviour would likely end his chances.
Lay.
Access more betting tips for Saturday racing here.