17/04/22 Long Weekend Best Bets

Tagged: Warwick Farm, Dubbo, Mick Gannon

We head west to Dubbo today & Warwick Farm on Monday in search of a winner this Easter long weekend.

The Dubbo track is rated a Soft 5, with the rail in the true position.

While Warwick Farm is rated a Heavy 9, with the rail in the true position, at this set up, I expect jockeys to scout wide in the straight.

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Dubbo Race 8 #4 No Debt $3.60

Won well last start over 1000m and is well suited out to the 12000m today.

He's a winner up to 1300m, so the extra 200m is of no concern.

Last start he was taken on in front, but showed good grit to kick strongly in the straight.

He gains the services of apprentice Jake Barrett today, who claims 4kg.

Barrett holds the keys to the race, if he can get his mount to jump cleanly and find the front, he'll be almost impossible to chase down with 54.5kg.

Warwick Farm Race 4 #2 Cuban Royale $14.00

This Robert & Luke Price trained gelding is very well suited out to the 1300m second-up and has come up a big price.

His first-up 4.8L 7th, over 1000m at Warwick Farm was solid enough to suggest he's returned in good order.

His second-up record of 9:3-0-2 is a strong pointer to a big effort on Monday.

Last preparation he produced a strong 2nd up run, resulting in a win over 1200m at Rosehill in a BM78. He's well suited dropping back to a BM72 here.

The 2kg claim for apprentice Reece Jones gets him in with 60.5kg and in the small field, he maps to sit within striking distance.

The low draw isn't ideal, but they'll likely be scouting wide on the turn, so the runs will appear.

He's had a tick over trial with Tommy Berry aboard which will have him up to the mark.

He's ultra consistent, gets to his ideal set up and is ready to peak.

Warwick Farm Race 6 #3 Athelric $3.30

We chimed into this talented gelding last start, when he saluted at double figures and I see no reason to jump off now.

He jumped well, sat 3 wide without cover and when asked for an effort, put a few lengths on his rivals.

The win quite impressive given the circumstances, suggesting he's come back in very good order.

The 1000m on a rain affected going is ideal, J-Mac jumps on and from barrier 9, he'll land in the perfect spot to find the fast lane home.

He's had a tick over trial with McDonald aboard, has upside and can make it back to back wins.