Horse Racing Tips for Flemington 1/3/25

What a weekend of racing we have ahead!

After going through the form on ‘The Early Crow’ podcast with Tom Papley, it’s clear that Sydney boasts a sensational card packed with quality races.

But Melbourne is where the real magic happens, with a glorious 10-race program at Flemington that is bound to serve up some thrilling finishes.

With the rail back in the true, expect tempo to dictate the results across the day with races setting up well for both on-pacers and strong closers depending on early speed.

There’s a runner in the last that I’m absolutely in love with, carrying just 54kg and piloted by a recently married jockey (I’ll let you figure out the rest).

But before we get to that, let’s kick off the day the right way and land an early winner in Race 1.

Flemington Best Bet and Tips from Jack Dickens

Best Bet – R1 #1 Shining Smile $2.60

Why am I starting the day by siding with the first favourite on the card?

• Form Stacks Up – Shining Smile ran in the Talindert Stakes last start, a race that has already produced high-quality form. Tentyris who finished alongside Shining Smile, has since come out and run 2nd in the Blue Diamond, confirming the strength of the race.
• Mr. Reliable – We know exactly what we’re getting with this horse. He has been consistently producing high-rating performances (via Puntingform) and is a runner you can trust to show up on race day.
• Track & Distance Specialist – Loves Flemington. From three starts here, he’s never finished worse than third. Over the 1000m trip, he’s won twice and placed twice from four starts—this is his ideal setup.

While Cavalry Girl looks a serious contender, she’s coming in off a 41-day break, and I’d rather side with the race-fit, proven performer in Shining Smile at any price above $2.00.

Let’s start the day on the front foot, build momentum, and line up a big one to finish off the card!

There are loads of tips for today's racing in our Horse Racing Tips market at theGreatTipOff.com.