A terrific day of racing awaits punters in South Australia this Saturday for Finals Day.
While scattered showers are forecast, they should only enhance conditions given the hot weather leading up to the weekend.
With the rail returning to the True position and no significant wind predicted, the track is expected to play fairly with no evident bias.
We’ve identified some strong early plays along with a few others offering great value, including one at odds north of $20 for subscribers to keep an eye on.
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Karavas is a talented filly who looks ready to peak here third-up in what appears to be an extremely winnable race.
Her first-up performance was full of merit against a similar line-up, where she loomed up strongly and appeared to have her rivals beaten before peaking late due to a lack of fitness.
Second-up, she stepped out at Flemington and acquitted herself well despite being outclassed by much stronger opposition than what she meets here.
This race suits her perfectly, especially considering her only prior third-up run resulted in a narrow 0.4-length second at this track and distance in Group 3 company.
Taylor Johnstone regains the ride and her valuable 3kg claim further enhances Karavas’ chances.
She maps well to settle midfield and charge home late, and she rates as outstanding value at $3.00.
I can’t see her missing a top-three finish and she looks a strong winning chance.
Starts Now is a lightly raced, well-bred gelding who comes into this race in top form, following an impressive third-up win last start where he dominated his rivals by 2.8 lengths.
The win was eye-catching, as he appeared to have plenty left in reserve and continued to widen the margin late.
This race is no tougher than his last assignment, and he carries the same 56.5kg.
Importantly, he strikes another field where the tempo up front should be genuine, allowing him to settle midfield or just behind the speed and finish strongly.
With Jake Toeroek once again taking the reins, Starts Now looks perfectly positioned to secure back-to-back wins.
Unless he encounters significant bad luck, he should prove too strong for this field.
I rate him at $2.25 and believe he is the one to beat.
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