Lay Betting Tips: who to avoid on the punt 15/6/24
- Author: James BeesonJun 13, 2024 11:30 AM
- Photo: Getty
Country Star runs into Highway Hazard
This week we focus on two runners that represent poison odds in each of their respective races, where both face significant challenges.
At Rosehill a country galloper who is still not fully seasoned with city racing, tackles a tricky Highway race that appears to have depth.
Whilst at Eagle Farm a popular stayer appears to be engaging in an “afterthought” run, with the stable looking to eek out one more effort, following what appeared to be the “grand final” peak last start.
Jimmy Beeson continues to correctly highlight the dud favourites in feature races.
Looking for more of his tips? His Early Market Movers drop Friday.
Horse Racing Lays on Saturday
Rosehill Race 3 #2 Know Thyself $1.90
Comes up very skinny odds here for his first look at genuine Saturday Highway class.
Although he historically he has some short SP’s, these were in much weaker grades.
He was fair at Canterbury last start when held up and rattled home over the 1250m in a run that the market has not missed.
He is being over-bet here due to the perceived advantages stepping back up to 1400m.
Launching from gate 1 has its advantages, however he is also a high-risk of being buried back along the inside.
If the fence is off this will present a significant challenge.
Being lightly raced in a higher pressure race over more distance is a negative for me, and I’m keen to be against here.
Avoid.
Eagle Farm Race 4 #7 Mostly Cloudy $2.70
Brings the Melbourne form which can be superior, however on this occasion he strikes a race with depth and plenty of quality elsewhere.
They had him trained to peak last start for the Melbourne Cup “golden ticket” race at Flemington, where he did run well (2nd of 15).
With the peak performance now behind him it is likely he will regress here.
The two natural leaders Knights Order and Goldman may have it between them up front, where if they fail to challenge each other the speed could come right out of this race.
This will make it very difficult for the back-markers to run on.
He is big chance of racing flat here and $3+ should be widely available come start time.
Lay.
Access more betting tips for Saturday racing here.